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I know you’re paying attention to Alabama and the way

 
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laiyongcai92



Anmeldedatum: 06.12.2018
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BeitragVerfasst am: 15.12.2018, 07:09    Titel: I know you’re paying attention to Alabama and the way Antworten mit Zitat

it’s scorching all comers this season. But I’d like a moment to look at how Clemson is also walloping its opponents ... after getting some things figured out.The Tigers have had an odd season Youth Brandon Fusco Jersey , but they’re starting to look like a team that could pose an actual challenge to the Tide. The root of their September issues is pretty clear: Clemson didn’t have its quarterback situation settled. It seems like a lifetime ago, but both the Tigers and Tide had quarterback controversies at the end of August.The Tide settled theirs in camp, while Clemson had a four-week audition for Trevor Lawrence and Kelly Bryant. The Tigers didn’t look demonstrative throughout and probably should have lost to Texas A&M, though I’d argue the Week 4 win should have been an even bigger blowout, given the fact that Georgia Tech somehow recovered seven of its eight fumbles. Then in Week 5, new starter Lawrence got hurt as Clemson clunked to a win over Syracuse.Clemson was winning, but wasn’t destroying teams like a squad with this talent level should’ve been. But that’s exactly what Clemson’s done since. Below, S&P+’s adjusted scoring margin tells us how much a team would’ve won by against a perfectly average team with an average number of breaks. Percentile performances tell us how well a team or unit performed on a bell curve. (I’ve bolded the higher relative number in each comparison.)First, here’s a control group game: Alabama vs. A&M as compared to a two-QB Clemson vs. Texas A&M, something of a control group game. The Tigers got them on the road with their QB situation still unsettled and struggled mightily in Week 2, but the Tide got them at home two weeks later and won handily. Clemson at Texas A&M: -1.7 adjusted scoring margin/57th percentile overall/69th percentile offense/25th percentile defenseAlabama vs. Texas A&M: +28/94th/88th/60thEven beyond the final score and accounting for location, Bama clearly played better against A&M.Next, let’s do their common opponent that came after Lawrence took over: Louisville. Clemson vs. Louisville: +53.5 adjusted scoring margin/87th percentile overall/86th percentile offense/91st percentile defenseAlabama vs. Louisville: +40.8/83rd/71st/89thIt should be noted that Bama could’ve beaten U of L worse if it wanted to and didn’t have Week 1 “rust,” but the numbers think Clemson looked better against Louisville.Next, let’s take a blind sample of three Alabama and Clemson blowouts over similar conference opponents ranked by S&P+, with each game in the month since Lawrence started playing full games.Clemson at S&P+ No. 87: +48.2 adjusted scoring margin/86th percentile overall/83rd percentile offense/94th percentile defenseAlabama at No. 82: +33/81st/79th/66thClemson at No. 75: +41.9 adjusted scoring margin/92nd percentile overall/98th percentile offense/94th percentile defenseAlabama at No. 79: +27.3/89th/92nd/28thClemson vs. No. 40: +39.4 adjusted scoring margin/92nd percentile overall/80th percentile offense/94th percentile defenseAlabama vs. No. 20: +40.9/96th/82nd/92ndA pretty even split Youth Terrell McClain Jersey , arguably tilted toward Clemson.Of course, then the Tide have the trump card of beating the hell out of LSU on the road in a hostile environment. (Clemson’s fourth game in this list was the Louisville game.)Alabama at LSU (No. 22): +42.5/97th/94th/94thThey played an excellent game against a team that was ranked in the Playoff committee’s top three. But keep in mind S&P+ was never impressed with LSU to begin with, meaning the numbers aren’t exactly gonna view that the same as the human polls did. So where does this leave us? According to S&P+, Alabama would be a 2.2-point favorite over Clemson on a neutral field. That number comes from Alabama being a 31.4-point favorite against a perfectly average college football team and Clemson being a 29.2-point favorite. And if S&P+ filters out pre-Lawrence games, it becomes a pick ‘em:Vegas gives the Tide a bigger advantage, but when a top-four LSU is a two-touchdown underdog at home, only 8.5 on a neutral field is a testament to Clemson. It’s also down from the 11.5-point spread Clemson was getting two months earlier as Vegas monitors continued improvement.Since 2005, only 2016’s Alabama team was rated higher than 31 versus an average team in S&P+. Clemson has a chance to get there if they keep beating teams by five touchdowns the rest of the way. They’re closer together at Nos. 1 & 2 in S&P+ than Clemson is to No. 3 Michigan (25.4 points better than an average team). Clemson is as far ahead of unbeaten Notre Dame (No. 7 in S&P+) as Notre Dame is ahead of Purdue (No. 26).Alabama’s strength is its offense, and its passing offense in particular. On offense, Clemson’s better running than it is passing. When you stack the defenses up against each other, the Tigers have the best D with a loaded front-seven. It’s why if they do play each other in an eventual Playoff, the game might just be the best version of the matchup we’ve seen and the matchup of Tua Tagovailoa vs. Clemson’s defense will likely be what that game hinges on. Clemson still has some work to do get to Alabama’s level, but they’ve already taken steps. Wednesday was Cy Young day for baseball, the second-to-last day of awards before we can really get the offseason going. The American League was the more exciting race, and Blake Snell ended up winning, but the National League is getting most of the publicity. Jacob deGrom unsurprisingly ran away with that one Authentic Matt Ryan Jersey , receiving all but one first-place vote. Everyone expected this to happen, but the takes are still coming because the takes can never stop. The most common takeaway from this win: The win stat is officially dead. This is true, but it’s true in the same way that Elvis is officially dead. Wins or no wins, deGrom winning this award is not something that only would have happened in this new baseball environment of 2018. The Mets ace almost certainly would have taken this home last year, and the year before that, and the year before that, and the year before that, and you get the point. This wasn’t just a good year in which he didn’t happen to win many games. This was a downright bananas, silly season in which his team seemingly conspired against him to keep his win total down. Honestly, the only thing as impressive as deGrom’s work on the mound was his teammates’ work at the plate and in the field to prevent him from racking up W’s. But again, these kinds of seasons get rewarded, and have for years. deGrom only won ten games, but it was eight years ago now that Felix Hernandez won the American League Cy Young with only 13 wins. This isn’t an entirely new phenomenon. Now, are there still people who emphasize wins more than they should? Yes, of course. And is it still possible to get unlucky and draw s Cy Young voting pool that disproportionately features voters like that? I suppose, though it’s very unlikely. There are people pointing to Blake Snell’s victory as evidence that wins do matter (hello Womens De'Vondre Campbell Jersey , John Smoltz), but obviously Snell did a lot more than just win games. The majority of people recognize that, though the minority can still be vocal enough to make the group seem larger than it is. The win has been dead for a long time. deGrom’s 2018 should be celebrated for its greatness every chance we get, but it wasn’t the season that killed the win.Manny Machado hasn’t exactly been swimming in positive press lately, but there are still teams that can and should sign him.Folks, this is important.The Mariners are mired in controversy right now with a former trainer accusing the organization of systemic racism throughout the front office. There’s no good way for this end.Pace of play is still the talk of the league, and perhaps they may look at the usage of relievers to speed things up.Marlins fans get a lot of grief for their lack of attendance in Miami, but what are the real reasons for the low turnout? Back to Machado, consider Dellin Betances among those who believe he would be a good addition for the Yankees. Going out on a limb, there!We had a trade on Wednesday that included a lot of depth pieces and low-level prospects. The mid-November hot stove is out of control.All Alex Cora did in his first season as a major-league manager was win 108 games and roll to a World Series title. Understandably, the Red Sox were impressed and gave their manager a new contract.It’s the end of an era in Minnesota with Joe Mauer retiring, and now they have to figure out what they’re going to do at first base.Bryce Harper’s play on the field gives plenty of reasons for teams to want to sign him, but they aren’t the only points of value for the superstar.There’s not a lot of positivity in Kansas City at the moment, but they can be excited about a possible star in Adalberto Mondesi.
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